Wednesday Premium Content: Five Potential Centre Trade Targets
We look at the Winnipeg Jets microstatistics, and answer other analytical questions surrounding the team
Welcome to this week's edition of our paid-subscriber hockey analysis series, where we delve deep into the world of hockey statistics, analytical theory, player development, Winnipeg Jets, and more.
This time around, we continue our exploration of the Jets' performances in microstatistics, a couple of analytical profiles on five potential trade deadline targets, and a discussion on microstatistics, chemistry, and roster optimization.
So, without further ado, let's dive right in.
MICROSTATISTICS UPDATE
For the sake of a comprehensive tally and full disclosure, we are missing one and a half of the forty games played; the games I haven't tracked are Game 14 and the second half of Game 11.
I will be conducting post-game analyses with microstatistics once I'm caught up and have all games tracked, which has taken a bit longer to catch up on than I originally hoped.
Mark Scheifele and Nikolaj Ehlers continue their back and forth race for first place. The real riser is Gabriel Vilardi, who has been shooting up the rankings since getting healthy. I know he gets the lion’s share of 5v5 ice time, but it’s pretty impressive that he’s already passed Vladislav Namestnikov.
Once I have caught up in games, we will start doing more in-depth microstatistical analyses, including scoring chances relative to ice time, and also examining expected shot volume generation from zone exits and entries.
The Jets top forwards have become quite tight around 62% for four. Ehlers was one of the top players in zone exit percentage but has stumbled down a bit. However, he has significantly reduced his defensive zone turnovers in the process, with an extremely low 10% failure rate for breakouts. That's impressive given how often he attempts zone exits, almost 33% more often than the next most common Jet.
He can still annoy me from time to time with those Dustin Byfuglien-esque high chip outs... regardless of their effectiveness, haha.
Nino Niederreiter and Mason Appleton dropping, though, has had an impact, as the line has not been nearly as dominant over the past month and a bit as they were when first put together. Their recently less efficient transition is in part a symptom and in part a cause of this.
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