Wednesday Premium Content: Five Potential Winger Trade Targets
We look at the Winnipeg Jets microstatistics, and answer other analytical questions surrounding the team
Welcome to this week's edition of our paid-subscriber hockey analysis series, where we delve deep into the world of hockey statistics, analytical theory, player development, Winnipeg Jets, and more.
This time around, we continue our exploration of the Jets' performances in microstatistics, a couple of analytical profiles on five potential trade deadline targets, and a discussion on point totals and line deployment.
So, without further ado, let's dive right in.
MICROSTATISTICS UPDATE
We are caught up!
I now have tracked all 43 games for the Winnipeg Jets. With that, I will be introducing a few features here in our microstatistics section, and will be adding a paywall to the end of our Monday Review posts with some individual game microstats reviews.
We are now up to date!
I have tracked all 43 games for the Winnipeg Jets. With that, I will be introducing a few features here in our microstatistics section and will be adding a paywall to the end of our Monday Review posts with some individual game microstats reviews.
The above is taken from yesterday’s game, and what I’ll be using for the paid subscriber section on Monday Reviews.
The scoring chances and scoring chance assists are not new to anyone here, but I’ll repeat my definitions just in case. They are a purely subjective count of scoring chances and shot assists that led to scoring chances, although somewhat informed by more objective expected goal analytics. I will be counting shot attempts in the “home plate” area in front of the net. I may add shots that are slightly out of premium areas, based on factors like low-to-high or east-to-west passes that cause significant goalie movement. Assists only go to passes where the shooter was in a prime scoring chance location already or was able to skate into it uncontested.
I reserve the right to dismiss any shots that I feel weren’t high danger.
For expected shots, this is looking at a player’s overall expected impact on creating shot attempts based on their zone exits and entries. Essentially, controlled entries, uncontrolled entries, controlled exits, and uncontrolled exits all have a chance at transitioning into a future shot attempt. I weight each of these events based on historical conversion rates.
Note: These numbers are all offense-oriented. My defensive microstats do not work well in single-game reports above, and transition efficiency with failed entries and exits does not either.
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